Camping Tourism in Bulgaria: A time-series analysis of tourist demand

Naydenov, Alexander; Naumov, Nikola; Varadzhakova, Desislava

doi:0016-7282 (print)

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Title: Camping Tourism in Bulgaria: A time-series analysis of tourist demand

Abstract:

Camping tourism has become very popular since the beginning of COVID-19 as tourists started to look for socially distanced and yet experiential activities. However, the academic scholarship is relatively thin, particularly in the context of Eastern Europe – a geographical location with rich traditions in outdoor camping and tourism. Drawing on a quantitative methodology based on ARIMA and SARIMA, this study addresses this gap by forecasting the changes in camping tourism development in the short term in Bulgaria. The results indicate a decline of inbound tourism and international visittors but also suggest a positive trend of development for the domestic market.

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